Half Year Results 2024
Umicore Group key figures
Revenues1 of € 1.8 billion
Adjusted EBITDA of € 393 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 21.8%
Adjusted EBIT of € 241 million
Adjusted net profit (Group share) of € 118 million and adjusted EPS of
€ 0.49
Adjustments to EBITDA of -€1.66 billion (mainly because of a -€1.60 billion non-cash impairment and write down in Battery Materials)
ROCE of 11.3%
Cashflow from operations of € 453 million: free operating cash flow of € 168 million
Capital expenditure of € 269 million
R&D expenditures of € 131 million
Net debt at € 1,434 million corresponding to a net debt/ LTM adj. EBITDA ratio of 1.70x
Total recordable injury rate of 5.1
Interim dividend of € 0.25 per share on 21 August 2024
Statement from Bart Sap, CEO
“In recent months, short- and medium-term growth projections for the electric vehicles market have been scaled back substantially, significantly affecting Umicore’s Battery Materials business. Today, we share the elements of how we are adjusting to this new reality. The large impairment of our Battery Materials assets is painful and reflects the changed situation as we see it today. In the coming months, we will continue to thoroughly reassess our Battery Materials activities, with energy and an open mind, always in close alignment with our customers and partners. We are shaping a new way forward and will share the outcomes during a Capital Markets Day in Q1 2025.” says Bart Sap, Umicore’s CEO. “In these challenging times, we must focus on what we need to adjust while not forgetting the strong fundamentals on which we stand. I deeply value the hard work and resilience of the Umicore teams, whose long-standing experience and deep knowledge will continue to be the driving forces in everything that we do. Our foundation businesses continue to provide strong cash flows and returns, evidenced by their robust performance over the first half of this year. This solid base enables us to bridge the current headwinds while we reposition to seize new opportunities."
Update on strategic review of Battery Materials activities and impairments
Adjusting to new market reality
Umicore updated its 2024 outlook for the Battery Materials business on June 12th, following the recent significant slowdown in short- and medium-term EV growth projections affecting its activities. The Group has taken immediate action to deal with this situation. The following measures have been initiated and are ongoing:
- Launch of a strategic review to reassess the growth projections in the Battery Materials business beyond 2024;
- Strict capital allocation discipline: Group capital expenditures in 2024 will be below € 650 million;
- Additional Group-wide efficiency and cost measures: such measures come on top of Umicore’s Efficiency for Growth program, which was launched in 2023 and is already well on track to deliver at least €70 million EBITDA anticipated for 2024 (included in the 2024 outlook), with more than half achieved over the first half of 2024.
Building on existing footprint and projected orderbook
With the information available today, and building on the existing assets and orderbook, Umicore developed a scenario to realign its operations to the new market reality. This is based on the following assumptions:
- At least 18 months delay in the ramp-up of its customer contracted volumes;
- Substantially reduced volume projections reflecting current offtake commitments at take-or-pay thresholds in line with currently confirmed investment waves;
- More prudent assumptions on operational cost evolution;
- Minimized further expansion of the existing footprint in Europe and Korea to serve its customers, which implies lower capex spending.
This scenario results in a well utilized capacity in the last years of this decade, except for the Chinese CAM assets which Umicore assumes to remain underutilized.
Impairments
Based on this scenario an impairment exercise has been performed, leading to a € 1.60 billion reduction in the Battery Materials’ capital employed. The impairment relates to Property, Plant and Equipment (PPE) and non-current inventories across Battery Materials’ activities, mainly in Asia. Therefore, the remaining capital employed for this business amounts to € 1.51 billion on 30 June 2024.
Within this scenario, Umicore anticipates that Battery Materials’ EBIT will remain below break-even levels in 2025 and 2026, and returns above the cost of capital are expected to be achieved in the last years of this decade.
Ongoing review of medium- to long-term Battery Materials strategy
With the current scenario as baseline, a strategic review has been launched with the intent to unlock and maximize future business value in Battery Materials. This comprehensive review will explore opportunities on top of the current scenario. It will be developed in close engagement with Umicore’s stakeholders, in particular its downstream industry partners.
The Group’s guiding principles for the review remain:
- Maximizing capacity utilization of existing assets, before considering any further expansion. Umicore is assessing the configuration of its existing footprint in Asia and Europe as well as its expansion project in North America. Pending the outcome of this review and keeping options open, Umicore is delaying spending on the construction of its battery materials plant in Loyalist, Canada;
- Optimizing the battery materials setup, closely aligned to customers’ new growth paths. Tight controls will ensure investments are only committed to, once customer demand is confirmed. Umicore will continue to leverage the strong customer agreements in place, as well as the differentiating market position of its CAM plant in Europe;
- Further customer diversification as well as openness to partnerships across Umicore’s Battery Materials value chain;
- Focus on technology, as well as overall operational and cost efficiency.
With the Battery Materials review process ongoing, the Group remains committed to executing the strategy and business plans in Umicore’s other activities, all while implementing above mentioned capital and cost discipline.
Capital Markets Day in the first quarter of 2025
The Group intends to schedule a Capital Markets Day in the first quarter of 2025 which will include an in-depth review of the Battery Materials’ business following the strategic review, as well as an update of the Business Groups Catalysis, Recycling and Specialty Materials. Umicore will present the future growth prospects and targets of each Business Group. In the meantime, updates will be provided when further information becomes available.
Business performance in the first half of 2024
Umicore’s Group revenues for the first half of 2024 amounted to € 1.8 billion versus € 2.1 billion in the first half of 2023. The adj. EBIT for the Group stood at € 241 million and the adj. EBITDA at € 393 million, down 36% and 24% respectively compared to the first half of 2023.
Battery Materials reported lower revenues than the first half of 2023, primarily reflecting the absence of a non-recurring lithium effect in the year-on-year comparison. Cathode materials sales remained broadly flat compared to last year. Adj. EBITDA in the first half of 2024 was close to break-even. The year-on-year decrease in adj. EBITDA was due to lower revenues, costs related to the greenfield investments in Poland and Canada, and an unfavorable comparison with the first half of 2023 that benefited from a substantial positive effect related to lower costs of mass production test runs and the valuation of battery production scrap. Despite the recent slowdown in the global EV sales, the long-term clean mobility trend remains confirmed, as was recently illustrated by the reconfirmation of the Green Deal in Europe.
Catalysis had lower revenues than in the first 6 months of 2023. ROCE was 40%. Automotive Catalysts’ sales volumes decreased, due to a less favorable customer mix in the light-duty car segment and a more difficult market context in Europe and Asia for the heavy-duty diesel segment. Precious Metals Chemistry’s revenues declined significantly while Fuel Cells & Stationary Catalysts’ revenues were slightly below the level of the previous year. Earnings were supported by strict cost discipline and efficiency measures and only slightly below the level of the previous year. Going forward the Automotive Catalyst business will further maximize business value based on its strong technology positioning, high process efficiency and operational agility, unlocking attractive EBITDA margins and substantial cash flow towards 2030.
Revenues in Recycling were down compared to the first half of the previous year, mainly driven by a less supportive precious metal price environment in Precious Metals Management and Precious Metals Refining. ROCE was 69%. Adj. EBITDA reflected a substantially lower contribution from Precious Metals Management’s trading activity, partly mitigated by higher earnings in Precious Metals Refining and Jewelry & Industrial Metals as a result of efficiency measures in the framework of the Efficiency for Growth program. The Precious Metals Refining activity hereby demonstrated once more its unique ability to generate strong returns and substantial cash flows at all points in the metal price cycle. With its leadership in sustainable and complex recycling, Precious Metals Refining is ideally positioned to respond to society’s growing need for metal recycling, unlocking significant future value and cash flows for the Group.
Revenues in Specialty Materials were slightly lower compared to the first half of the previous year. ROCE was 8%. Earnings felt the impact of lower refining and distribution margins in Cobalt & Specialty Materials as a result of competitive pressure and a lower cobalt price. Although the refining and recycling activities in the Business Group can bring a certain metal price sensitivity to its performance, its business units are active in appealing niche segments with attractive return profiles.
In 2023 Umicore launched the ‘Efficiency for Growth’ program, a Group-wide program that accelerates ongoing efficiency improvements across the different Business Groups to support both cost optimization, top-line growth and working capital improvement. This program is well on track to deliver at least € 70 million EBITDA in 2024 (included in the 2024 outlook), with more than half achieved over the first half of 2024. As from 2025, Umicore anticipates to achieve a run-rate exceeding € 100 million. This will be combined with additional efforts across the Group to help counteract the turbulent market context in the Battery Materials business.
Capital expenditures amounted to € 269 million, down 20% compared to the first half of 2023. Operational free cash flow remained strong at € 168 million, driven by a decrease in net working capital and lower investments. Net financial debt amounted to € 1.4 billion on 30 June 2024, corresponding to a net debt/ LTM adj. EBITDA ratio of 1.70x. The Group remains committed to a strong balance sheet going forward. The Group ROCE of 11.3% reflects the lower earnings and capital employed as a result of the impairments.
2024 Outlook
Based on the performance in the first half of the year and assuming precious metal prices remain at current levels for the remainder of the year, Umicore reconfirms it anticipates 2024 Group adj. EBITDA to be within a range of € 760 million to € 800 million.
As announced on June 12th, customers’ most recent demand projections for Umicore’s battery materials have steeply declined in a context of a sharp slowdown in global EV sales. As a result, volumes for Umicore’s Battery Materials for the full year 2024 are anticipated to be equal to, or slightly below, the level of last year. Umicore expects adj. EBITDA in 2024 for this Business Group to be around break-even, including a positive one-off of c. € 50 million2.
It is anticipated that the business unit Automotive Catalysts will continue to benefit from its strong market position in gasoline applications and further progress on efficiency improvements. Taking into account the current outstanding strategic metal hedges and the impact of efficiency measures, it is expected that the adj. EBITDA of the Business Group Catalysis in 2024 will be in line with the level of the previous year, despite the lower PGM price environment.
Following the completion of the planned maintenance shutdown in the first half of the year, it is anticipated that Precious Metals Refining will post a solid underlying performance in the second half. Assuming that current metal prices continue to prevail throughout the year and taking into account the current strategic metal hedges, it is expected that the 2024 adj. EBITDA of the Recycling Business Group will be below the level of the previous year, in line with current market expectations3.
Anticipating that the revenues and earnings of the Cobalt & Specialty Materials business unit will continue to be impacted by the challenging market environment. Umicore expects adj. EBITDA in the Business Group Specialty Materials for the full year 2024 to be below the level of the previous year and below current market expectations4.
It is anticipated that Corporate costs will be roughly in line with previous year.
Capital expenditures for the full year 2024 will be below € 650 million.
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[1] All references to revenues in this document refer to revenues excluding metals (i.e. all revenue elements less the value of the following purchased metals: Au, Ag, Pt, Pd, Rh, Co, Ni, Pb, Cu, Ge, Li and Mn).
[2] Predominantly related to the reversal of a provision for OEM recalls.
[3] VARA consensus as at July 25th 2024. Consensus adj. EBITDA for Recycling in 2024 amounted to € 324 million at the time of this publication.
[4] VARA consensus as at July 25th 2024. Consensus adj. EBITDA for Specialty Materials in 2024 amounted to € 109 million at the time of this publication.